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Queensland AgTrends

Crops

Livestock disposals

Fruit and nuts

No change

Vegetables

Fisheries

Queensland’s agriculture, fisheries and forestry (AFF) sector is a key foundation of the Queensland economy, the Australian economy and the success of our regions. It is critical to support it to diversify, add value and grow...

Despite the challenges of COVID-19 the AFF sector has remained resilient. For 2021–22, the total value of Queensland’s primary industry commodities is forecast to be $20.66 billion, made up of:

  • $16.09 billion gross value of production (GVP)
  • $4.57 billion value-added production.

This total is 8% more than for 2020–21 and 8% greater than the average for the past 5 years

The largest contributors, by estimated GVP, are:

  • meat products (47%)
  • horticulture (22%)
  • sugar (9%)
  • cereal products (8%).

Output volumes are forecast to grow by 9% per annum in 2021-22. However, a range of external factors—such as exchange rates, commodity prices and weather conditions—may affect growth.

Explore the AgTrends dashboard below to:

  • see the trends in GVP for AFF commodities in Queensland.
  • see the changes in volume-of-production for selected commodities.

We’re committed to providing accessible content for the widest possible audience, and are working to improve our offering. If you’d like more information about any of the graphics on this page, please contact us on 13 25 23.

Volume-of-production index

A volume-of-production index describes the movement in production over a period of time relative to a base period.

Total Queensland agriculture production is forecast to increase by 2.5% from 2020–21 to 2021–22, with an index of 114. This reflects the improved seasonal conditions expected for 2021–22 as the sector recovers from consecutive years of drought.

Volume increases are expected across grains, cotton and other field crops, while decreases are expected in livestock production.

Horticulture in focus

The latest forecasts for Queensland horticulture show stable GVP despite challenges facing the sector. The Gross value of production remains unchanged in 2021-22 for fruit and nuts with a 2 per cent increase for vegetables.

On the back of improved seasonal conditions Queensland horticulture output has recovered to long term average levels. In particular, banana production is forecast to come back steadily following Tropical Cyclone Niran, with many growers back to full production by summer/autumn. On the downside, there has been a significant increase in the impact of FAW on capsicums – affecting output. Additionally, southern vegetable crops, that require hand picking, is likely to experience reduced output due to labour shortages, such as onions.

Domestic Queensland fruit and veg demand is normalising, whilst there is still uncertainty around interstate and international markets through 2021-22.  Disruptions to food service businesses continue to affect the consumption of some commodities, notably strawberries and fresh pineapples, leading to decreases in farmgate prices.At the retail level prices are forecast to remain at high levels similar or slightly elevated to those seen in 2020–21.  Some commodities have strong supply price relationships – analysis by DAF shows that changes in the wholesale supply of apples, table grapes, and strawberries have a greater impact on wholesale prices compared to other fruits.

Whilst sector GVP is forecast to be stable agribusinesses are facing increasing cost price pressures. Labour, being a significant input into horticulture production, is impacting profitability as grower pay a premium to attract and retain labour whilst there is reduced supply. In addition, exporters have been impacted by high freight costs, with reduced freight capacity and decreases in schedule reliability causing significant concern and losses for perishable horticulture exports.

Explore our horticulture export dashboard below to examine, by month:

  • the value of key horticulture exports from Queensland from July 2015 to June 2021
  • understand the changes in the value of exports of key commodities between financial years

Explore our labour-demand dashboard below to:

  • understand labour demand across Queensland horticultural regions and commodities
  • understand the labour intensity of various commodities across the year
  • Note the figures contained in the dashboard are modelled estimates only, are subject to change, and are based on the best available data at the time of modelling (February 2021).

We’re committed to providing accessible content for the widest possible audience, and are working to improve our offering. If you’d like more information about any of the graphics on this page, please contact us on 13 25 23.

More information

Download all Agtrends data.

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Last updated: 30 Sep 2021

https://app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiOWFkOWFjMWYtMWNkNC00ZTQ5LWFjYjMtYmNlMDY4OWY2NWE2IiwidCI6ImQxNmRlNTMwLTk0ZTctNDE1OC1iN2UyLTZlZTIyMGFmNjI4ZCJ9